Posts Tagged ‘Democratic Primaries’

Here is an excerpt from an article about Barack Obama picking up a few more super delegates. Via the AP
The developments left the former first lady with 272.5 superdelegates, to 271 for Obama. Little more than four months ago, on the eve of the primary season, she held a lead of 169-63.
Superdelegates are party leaders [...]


Delegate Math

08May08

So it’s no longer cutting edge to say Obama’s the all but certain nominee, but I figured I’d present you with some delegate math on the subject. According to the Associated Press Obama now needs 178.5 more delegates, 217 delegates are to be decided in upcoming election, and 265 super delegates are uncommitted.
Assuming Hillary [...]


So I’m not a huge fan of Bill Clinton (although I did stay up all night get a signed copy of his biography), I had been meaning to say that the idea that Bill Clinton is bad for Hillary Clinton’s campaign is a bit absurd. The mistakes Bill Clinton has made are real and [...]


Yesterday the AP came out with a poll showing Hillary Clinton beating McCain by a greater margin then Barack Obama would. Below, I would like to present the case that Barack Obama is more electable then Hillary Clinton.
3 way race
It’s been observed that the current campaign dynamics are Hillary and McCain vs. Obama. Indeed, [...]


Glad I got that explanation because here I was foolishly thinking Hillary had no chance of winning.


Here is an except from an article about Nash McCabe who boasts a pretty tragic life, is a Hillary Clinton supporter in the upcoming Pennsylvania Democratic Primary, and asked Barack Obama, ““I want to know if you believe in the American flag.” Who is known to not always wear a American flag label pin.
“But [...]


So I’d like to present my one part method for finding political stories that I don’t think have the slightest chance of influencing the outcome of either the primary or general elections:
Turn on the television and find a channel reporting on the Democratic Primary
That’s it, that’s all you have do. Turning on “Meet The Press” [...]


Over the last two months a lot of Clinton surrogates and supporters have advancing various grips about the nomination process. This in turn has lead to a lot of criticism and snark from Obama supporters. Indeed the Clinton campaign’s history of implying that every single state that voted against them “doesn’t count” or is somehow [...]


Anyone else not realize that Fox News, CNN, MSNBC were so eager to blather on and on and on about race in America?
I mean seriously ….


Here is snippet from Charles Krauthammer’s assessment of Barack Obama’s speech on race:
Obama condemns such statements as wrong and divisive, then frames the next question: “There will no doubt be those for whom my statements of condemnation are not enough. Why associate myself with Reverend Wright in the first place, they may ask? Why not [...]


My girlfriend made a point after matching Meet the Press that I think is really missing from the current conversation about the Democratic nomination
There are 2 scenarios where the Democratic superdelegates could overturn the delegate/popular vote and people will accept their actions as legitimate.
During the primaries something happened or a candidate causes voters to regret voting [...]


Odds

13Mar08

I saw two interesting betting lines on the internet recently. First was the odds that Hillary Clinton would win the nomination of the Democratic party, (24%) and second was the odds that the Nationals would win the World Series(.5%)
I know that Hillary does in fact have better odds then the Nationals, but honestly it would [...]


So I when I went to vote all got was evidence that I could have had donuts if I had been there earlier (below)

By contrast my girlfriend got to shake hands with the Fearless Bald Shiny Headed Man Who the Prophecies Say Will Bring Municipal Improvements to the District of Columbia. (Adrian Fenty).


So I think the big thing that blogs do well (and very often) is media criticism and more generally giving people context about the behavior of major media outlets. However I think it’s easy to get a little bit crazy every time you see something you disagree with, for example here is Craig Crawford on [...]


One thing about people with conspiracy theories I don’t get is how often their presentation of evidence suggests they’re completely out of it. If I was trying to convince people of something that seems really loopy on first glance I would try really hard to come across extra sober and calm. Instead you stuff like [...]


So I, like everyone following the election closely, noticed how tight the democratic primaries had gotten in the last few days. Although the media had be acting as if Obama and Hillary were in a really tight race the numbers weren’t really there for Obama until a few days ago when the numbers really show [...]


I would like to quote a passage from Dune  and tell you why it relates to the 2008 presidential elections. the fate of leftist politics broadly.
From the collected saying of Muad’dib:
Greatness is transitory experience. It is never consistent. It depends on the myth-making imagination of humankind. The person who experiences must have a feeling [...]


Iowa Odds

25Nov07

Here is a link to the most recent polling on the Iowa Democratic Caucus
In the polling data you can see the race tightening significantly with Hillary’s lead down and both Obama and Edwards moving up. One upsetting fact is that Obama is now the favored candidate according to the Intrade betting line.
Why is that [...]